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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu

Kasimpasa
3 - 2
Ankaragucu

Ben Ouannes (30', 90+3'), Fall (69')
Ben Ouannes (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bekiroglu (73'), Cephas (78')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Karagumruk 3-0 Kasimpasa
Tuesday, June 6 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Kasimpasa 1-0 Ankaragucu

Looking at past results between Kasimpasa and Ankaragucu, we anticipate a cagey affair at the Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium this weekend. While both sides are evenly matched on paper, Ozdes's men have home advantage in their favour and we fancy them grinding out a narrow victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Ankaragucu win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.

Result
KasimpasaDrawAnkaragucu
39.1% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 26.13% (0.0010000000000012 0) 34.77% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.65% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.15% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)50.85% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)72.73% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.5% (-0.012 -0.01)25.5% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.65% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)60.35% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Ankaragucu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)27.99% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.37% (0.011000000000003 0.01)63.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 39.1%
    Ankaragucu 34.77%
    Draw 26.12%
KasimpasaDrawAnkaragucu
1-0 @ 9.75% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 6.66% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.04% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 39.1%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 7.14% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.12%
0-1 @ 9.09% (0.0029999999999983 0)
1-2 @ 7.91% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.79% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.29%
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 34.77%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Karagumruk 3-0 Kasimpasa
Tuesday, June 6 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 2-5 Besiktas
Saturday, June 3 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 1-3 Kasimpasa
Tuesday, May 30 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 1-0 Istanbulspor
Saturday, May 20 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Sivasspor 1-2 Kasimpasa
Tuesday, May 16 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 0-0 Kasimpasa
Saturday, April 29 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 1-2 Adana Demirspor
Wednesday, June 7 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 0-1 Ankaragucu
Saturday, June 3 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 1-4 Galatasaray
Tuesday, May 30 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 2-2 Istanbul
Thursday, May 25 at 6.30pm in Turkish Cup
Last Game: Umraniyespor 1-2 Ankaragucu
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 1-1 Antalyaspor
Wednesday, May 17 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig


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