Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu
We said: Kasimpasa 1-0 Ankaragucu
Looking at past results between Kasimpasa and Ankaragucu, we anticipate a cagey affair at the Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium this weekend. While both sides are evenly matched on paper, Ozdes's men have home advantage in their favour and we fancy them grinding out a narrow victory in this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Ankaragucu win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.
| Result |
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Ankaragucu |
39.1% ( -0.02) | 26.13% ( 0) | 34.77% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.65% ( -0) |
| 49.15% ( -0) | 50.85% ( 0) |
| 27.27% ( -0) | 72.73% ( 0) |
| 74.5% ( -0.01) | 25.5% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.65% ( -0.02) | 60.35% ( 0.02) |
| 72.01% ( 0.01) | 27.99% ( -0.01) |
