Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 12
Nov 11, 2023 at 1pm UK
Vefa Stadi
We said: Fatih Karagumruk 1-2 Sivasspor
Sivasspor have performed very well away from home in the opening months of the season and there is no reason to think they cannot continue that form on Saturday.
The hosts have played neither particularly well nor particularly badly at home this season, but one thing is for sure - they are struggling to score goals, having the fourth-worst record of any team from the bottom half of the Super Lig with just five goals scored so far.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Sivasspor had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Sivasspor win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.
| Result |
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Sivasspor |
41.4% ( 0.04) | 24.93% ( -0.01) | 33.67% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.47% ( 0.03) |
| 54.19% ( 0.04) | 45.81% ( -0.04) |
| 31.88% ( 0.04) | 68.12% ( -0.04) |
| 77.91% ( 0.04) | 22.09% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.55% ( 0.06) | 55.44% ( -0.06) |
| 73.76% ( -0) | 26.24% ( 0) |
