SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Sivasspor had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Sivasspor win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Sivasspor |
41.4% ( 0.04) | 24.93% ( -0.01) | 33.67% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.47% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.19% ( 0.04) | 45.81% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.88% ( 0.04) | 68.12% ( -0.04) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.91% ( 0.04) | 22.09% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.55% ( 0.06) | 55.44% ( -0.06) |
| Sivasspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.76% ( -0) | 26.24% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.66% ( -0.01) | 61.34% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Sivasspor |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.61% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 41.4% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.93% | 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 3.28% Total : 33.67% |
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