SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Antalyaspor had a probability of 21.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.04%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for an Antalyaspor win it was 1-0 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Antalyaspor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
21.59% ( 1.3) | 24.25% ( 0.42) | 54.16% ( -1.72) |
| Both teams to score 50.21% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.09% ( -0.18) | 50.9% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.22% ( -0.16) | 72.78% ( 0.16) |
| Antalyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.77% ( 1.23) | 38.23% ( -1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.01% ( 1.17) | 74.99% ( -1.16) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.29% ( -0.72) | 18.71% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.93% ( -1.21) | 50.07% ( 1.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Antalyaspor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 1-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.28)2-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.11)Other @ 1.54% Total : 21.59% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.92% Total : 24.24% | 0-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 10.04% ( -0.4)1-2 @ 9.66% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 5.61% ( -0.36)1-3 @ 5.4% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.35% ( -0.21)1-4 @ 2.26% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.15% Total : 54.14% |
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