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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 28
Mar 2, 2024 at 4pm UK
Mersin Stadyumu

Hatayspor
0 - 2
Fenerbahce


Massanga (44')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Osayi-Samuel (24'), Under (40')
Osayi-Samuel (8'), Becao (34'), Oosterwolde (78'), Yuksek (90+2'), Soyuncu (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Konyaspor 2-0 Hatayspor
Saturday, February 24 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 2-1 Kasimpasa
Saturday, February 24 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Hatayspor 1-2 Fenerbahce

Fenerbahce are outright favorites for this one, as both history and current form favours them. Hatayspor are struggling this season and have failed to win in their last three games. We are predicting a close victory for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 18.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.31%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 1-0 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
HataysporDrawFenerbahce
18.37% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05) 21.78% (-0.044 -0.04) 59.86% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 52.83% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.15% (0.108 0.11)44.84% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.8% (0.10599999999999 0.11)67.2% (-0.108 -0.11)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.84% (0.0010000000000048 0)38.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)74.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.42% (0.066000000000003 0.07)14.57% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.35% (0.127 0.13)42.64% (-0.131 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Hatayspor 18.37%
    Fenerbahce 59.85%
    Draw 21.77%
HataysporDrawFenerbahce
1-0 @ 5.36% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-1 @ 4.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 18.37%
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.56% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.77%
0-1 @ 10.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 10.31%
1-2 @ 9.94% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 6.62% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.38% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-4 @ 3.19% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.07% (0.015 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.48% (0.008 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.23% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.18% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 59.85%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Konyaspor 2-0 Hatayspor
Saturday, February 24 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 1-1 Sivasspor
Saturday, February 17 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 2-0 Hatayspor
Monday, February 12 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 3-1 Karagumruk
Friday, February 2 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 0-1 Hatayspor
Saturday, January 27 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 1-1 Alanyaspor
Tuesday, January 23 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 2-1 Kasimpasa
Saturday, February 24 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Caykur Rizespor 1-3 Fenerbahce
Saturday, February 17 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 2-2 Alanyaspor
Sunday, February 11 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Antalyaspor 0-2 Fenerbahce
Saturday, February 3 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 2-1 Ankaragucu
Sunday, January 28 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 0-1 Fenerbahce
Wednesday, January 24 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig


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