SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 75.96%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Konyaspor had a probability of 9.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.74%), while for a Konyaspor win it was 1-2 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Konyaspor |
75.96% ( 0.44) | 14.62% ( -0.22) | 9.42% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 53.02% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.04% ( 0.33) | 31.96% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.49% ( 0.39) | 53.52% ( -0.39) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.03% ( 0.16) | 6.97% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.46% ( 0.43) | 25.55% ( -0.43) |
| Konyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57% ( -0.21) | 43% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.71% ( -0.18) | 79.3% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Konyaspor |
| 2-0 @ 10.63% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.05)6-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.68% Total : 75.96% | 1-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 14.62% | 1-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.91% Total : 9.42% |
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