SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 73.62%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 10.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.53%) and 0-3 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 1-0 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbulspor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
10.24% ( -0) | 16.14% ( -0) | 73.62% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.25% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.95% ( 0.01) | 37.05% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.76% ( 0.01) | 59.24% ( -0.01) |
| Istanbulspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.01% ( 0) | 44.99% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.07% ( -0) | 80.93% ( 0) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.34% ( 0) | 8.66% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.16% ( 0.01) | 29.84% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbulspor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 1-0 @ 3.11% ( -0) 2-1 @ 3.04% ( -0)2-0 @ 1.24% ( -0)3-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.85% Total : 10.24% | 1-1 @ 7.61% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.9% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.92% Total : 16.14% | 0-2 @ 11.65% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.53% ( -0)0-3 @ 9.51% ( 0)1-2 @ 9.31% ( -0)1-3 @ 7.6% ( 0)0-4 @ 5.82% ( 0)1-4 @ 4.65% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.03% 0-5 @ 2.85% ( 0)1-5 @ 2.27% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.86% 0-6 @ 1.16% ( 0)1-6 @ 0.93% ( 0)2-5 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 73.61% |
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