SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 55.57%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 24.12% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.78%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Galatasaray |
55.57% ( 0.09) | 20.3% ( -0.03) | 24.12% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 67.27% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.01% ( 0.05) | 29.99% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.82% ( 0.06) | 51.17% ( -0.06) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.98% ( 0.04) | 11.01% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.68% ( 0.08) | 35.31% ( -0.09) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.59% ( -0.02) | 24.4% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.17% ( -0.02) | 58.82% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.54% ( 0)1-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.24% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 3.25% Total : 55.57% | 1-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.25% ( 0)Other @ 0.5% Total : 20.3% | 1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 24.12% |
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