SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 67.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 14.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 1-2 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
67.74% ( -0.24) | 18.2% ( 0.17) | 14.06% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.42% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.37% ( -0.66) | 36.63% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.22% ( -0.72) | 58.78% ( 0.71) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.08% ( -0.24) | 9.92% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.17% ( -0.54) | 32.83% ( 0.54) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.53% ( -0.33) | 38.47% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.78% ( -0.31) | 75.22% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galatasaray | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 2-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 2% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.09% Total : 67.73% | 1-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.2% | 1-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.89% Total : 14.06% |
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