SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 48.83%. A win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Ankaragucu win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Ankaragucu |
48.83% ( 0.25) | 23.83% ( -0.59) | 27.34% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 57.76% ( 2.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.12% ( 2.87) | 43.88% ( -2.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.74% ( 2.75) | 66.26% ( -2.75) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.91% ( 1.22) | 18.09% ( -1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.98% ( 2.04) | 49.02% ( -2.05) |
| Ankaragucu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.52% ( 1.76) | 29.48% ( -1.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.51% ( 2.09) | 65.49% ( -2.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Ankaragucu |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.8)2-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.36)3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.22)3-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.29)4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.18)4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.17)Other @ 3.58% Total : 48.83% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.29)0-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.7)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.82% | 1-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.5)0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.29% Total : 27.34% |
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