SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 75.71%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 9.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.85%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 1-2 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Kayserispor |
75.71% ( 0.04) | 14.79% ( -0.05) | 9.49% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 52.6% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.38% ( 0.26) | 32.62% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.71% ( 0.3) | 54.29% ( -0.31) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.83% ( 0.06) | 7.17% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.93% ( 0.18) | 26.07% ( -0.18) |
| Kayserispor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.66% ( 0.19) | 43.34% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.42% ( 0.16) | 79.57% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galatasaray | Draw | Kayserispor |
| 2-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 6.24% ( 0)4-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.51% Total : 75.71% | 1-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 14.79% | 1-2 @ 2.86% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.09% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.89% Total : 9.49% |
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