SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Trabzonspor |
44.12% ( -0.9) | 23.55% ( 0.25) | 32.33% ( 0.65) |
| Both teams to score 61.93% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.23% ( -0.94) | 39.77% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.87% ( -0.99) | 62.12% ( 0.99) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.63% ( -0.74) | 18.36% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.52% ( -1.27) | 49.48% ( 1.27) |
| Trabzonspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.86% ( -0.07) | 24.14% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.55% ( -0.1) | 58.45% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galatasaray | Draw | Trabzonspor |
| 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.62% Total : 44.12% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 32.33% |
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