With the two rivals separated by only one point and the previous three meetings ending all square, we think that Sunday's encounter will also result in the spoils being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Besiktas	Draw	Fenerbahce
29.59% ( 0.01)	25.08% ( -0.01)	45.32% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.16% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.97% (

0.03)

48.03% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.8% (

0.03)

70.2% (

-0.03)

Besiktas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.01% (

0.02)

29.99% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.9% (

0.03)

66.1% (

-0.04)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.78% (

21.22% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.89% (

0.01)

54.11% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Besiktas 29.59%

Fenerbahce 45.32%

Draw 25.08%

Besiktas	Draw	Fenerbahce
1-0 @ 7.66% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.61% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0) Other @ 3.21% Total : 29.59%	1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.08%	0-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.76% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.95% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.85% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.53% 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 45.32%