The reverse fixture between the two sides ended in a 2-2 draw, but with Goztepe seemingly bereft of confidence, we think that Alanyaspor will take advantage to extend their unbeaten away run to five matches.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Goztepe SK had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Goztepe SK win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Alanyaspor would win this match.
