With both sides faring well in recent games and with neither team wanting to give up ground in the race for the European places, we think a cagey contest on Sunday could end with the spoils being shared.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 2-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
