SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hatayspor | Draw | Alanyaspor |
33.52% ( -0.29) | 26.11% ( 0.07) | 40.37% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 53.45% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.01% ( -0.35) | 50.99% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.15% ( -0.31) | 72.85% ( 0.31) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.16% ( -0.36) | 28.83% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.31% ( -0.45) | 64.69% ( 0.45) |
| Alanyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.11% ( -0.04) | 24.89% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.5% ( -0.05) | 59.5% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hatayspor | Draw | Alanyaspor |
| 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.61% Total : 33.52% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 4% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 40.37% |
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