Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
Result | ||
Besiktas | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
50.7% (![]() | 23.9% (![]() | 25.4% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.74% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.26% (![]() | 45.74% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.94% (![]() | 68.05% (![]() |
Besiktas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.92% (![]() | 18.08% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51% (![]() | 49% (![]() |
Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.04% (![]() | 31.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.58% (![]() | 68.42% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Besiktas | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
1-0 @ 9.88% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.64% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.45% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.5% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.82% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.35% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.34% ( ![]() Other @ 3.52% Total : 50.7% | 1-1 @ 11.27% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.78% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.5% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.9% | 0-1 @ 6.59% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.43% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.43% ( ![]() Other @ 2.65% Total : 25.4% |
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