SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Hatayspor |
45.97% ( 1.32) | 24.86% ( -0.22) | 29.17% ( -1.1) |
| Both teams to score 55.65% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.74% ( 0.38) | 47.26% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.51% ( 0.35) | 69.49% ( -0.34) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.39% ( 0.74) | 20.62% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.83% ( 1.16) | 53.17% ( -1.15) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.11% ( -0.58) | 29.9% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.01% ( -0.71) | 65.99% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Hatayspor |
| 1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.71% Total : 45.97% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.23% Total : 29.17% |
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