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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 27
Feb 26, 2022 at 1pm UK
Fatih Terim Stadium

Istanbul
1 - 2
Karagumruk

Trezeguet (25')
Ucan (72'), Okaka (80')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Borini (39'), Musa (41')
Erkin (54'), Mercan (88')

We said: Istanbul Basaksehir 2-1 Fatih Karagumruk

Although Fatih Karagumruk emerged victorious in the reverse fixture, we think that they will fall short on Saturday when they face an Istanbul Basaksehir side who usually fare well on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 71.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 10.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawFatih Karagumruk
71.37%17.65%10.97%
Both teams to score 47.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.91%42.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.51%64.49%
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.51%10.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.86%34.14%
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.03%46.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.54%82.46%
Score Analysis
    Istanbul Basaksehir 71.36%
    Fatih Karagumruk 10.97%
    Draw 17.65%
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawFatih Karagumruk
2-0 @ 12.52%
1-0 @ 11.1%
2-1 @ 9.47%
3-0 @ 9.41%
3-1 @ 7.12%
4-0 @ 5.31%
4-1 @ 4.01%
3-2 @ 2.69%
5-0 @ 2.39%
5-1 @ 1.81%
4-2 @ 1.52%
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 71.36%
1-1 @ 8.4%
0-0 @ 4.93%
2-2 @ 3.58%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 17.65%
0-1 @ 3.72%
1-2 @ 3.17%
0-2 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 10.97%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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