SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 67.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 13.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 2-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gaziantep | Draw | Galatasaray |
13.99% ( 0.04) | 18.46% ( -0.01) | 67.55% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.23% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.94% ( 0.14) | 38.06% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.67% ( 0.15) | 60.33% ( -0.16) |
| Gaziantep Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.5% ( 0.14) | 39.5% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.81% ( 0.13) | 76.19% ( -0.13) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.64% ( 0.03) | 10.35% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.16% ( 0.08) | 33.84% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gaziantep | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 2-1 @ 4% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.76% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.78% Total : 13.99% | 1-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.46% | 0-2 @ 10.51% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.77% ( -0)0-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 7.95% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 7.38% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 4.51% ( -0)1-4 @ 4.19% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 2.04% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.65% Total : 67.54% |
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