SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 49.44%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
49.44% ( -0.35) | 24.94% ( 0.09) | 25.62% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 52.6% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.02% ( -0.19) | 49.98% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.04% ( -0.17) | 71.96% ( 0.17) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.76% ( -0.22) | 20.24% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.43% ( -0.35) | 52.57% ( 0.35) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.94% ( 0.11) | 34.05% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.26% ( 0.12) | 70.73% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 49.44% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.25% Total : 25.62% |
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