The hosts are a better side than their record this season suggests, and we expect them to put on an improved performance in front of their home crowd this week. While there are doubts about whether they can go on to win the match, we feel they will be able to grind out at least a point.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Konyaspor had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Konyaspor win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
-0.05) 
0.06) 
