SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 49.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 25.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
49.13% ( -0.02) | 25.44% ( 0) | 25.43% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.9% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.87% ( 0.01) | 52.12% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.15% ( 0.01) | 73.84% ( -0.01) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.76% ( -0.01) | 21.23% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.86% ( -0.01) | 54.13% ( 0.01) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.62% ( 0.02) | 35.37% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.86% ( 0.02) | 72.13% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 1-0 @ 11.63% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.66% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.81% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 49.12% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 7.51% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0)Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.06% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 25.43% |
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