SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 66.24%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 15.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 1-0 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.17%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
66.24% ( -2.66) | 18.24% ( 0.8) | 15.52% ( 1.87) |
| Both teams to score 59.27% ( 2.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.49% ( 0.37) | 33.51% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.69% ( 0.42) | 55.31% ( -0.41) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.57% ( -0.51) | 9.43% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.31% ( -1.22) | 31.69% ( 1.22) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.44% ( 2.69) | 34.56% ( -2.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.72% ( 2.76) | 71.28% ( -2.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.62)1-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.33)3-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.67)4-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.5)3-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.22)4-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.14)5-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.29)5-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.69% Total : 66.24% | 1-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.4)0-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.25% Total : 18.24% | 1-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.43) 0-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.22)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.25)Other @ 2.53% Total : 15.52% |
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