Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 60.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 17.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
