SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Kasimpasa in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Alanyaspor |
50.23% ( -0.31) | 23.59% ( 0.12) | 26.18% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 57.56% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.32% ( -0.38) | 43.68% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.93% ( -0.38) | 66.07% ( 0.38) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.52% ( -0.26) | 17.48% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.03% ( -0.46) | 47.97% ( 0.46) |
| Alanyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.75% ( -0.05) | 30.25% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.58% ( -0.06) | 66.42% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Alanyaspor |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 8.04% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.81% Total : 50.23% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.58% | 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.06% Total : 26.18% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
