SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 75.61%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 9.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 1-2 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Kasimpasa |
75.61% ( 0.04) | 15.04% ( 0.03) | 9.34% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 50.84% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.53% ( -0.43) | 34.47% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.6% ( -0.49) | 56.39% ( 0.49) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.38% ( -0.09) | 7.61% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.78% ( -0.23) | 27.22% ( 0.23) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.03% ( -0.46) | 44.97% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.09% ( -0.37) | 80.91% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Kasimpasa |
| 2-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 3.23% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.09% Total : 75.61% | 1-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.95% Total : 15.04% | 1-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.09% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.73% Total : 9.34% |
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