SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
31.93% ( 0.16) | 25.11% ( 0.05) | 42.96% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 56.25% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.87% ( -0.19) | 47.13% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.63% ( -0.18) | 69.36% ( 0.17) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.04% ( 0.01) | 27.96% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.41% ( 0.01) | 63.59% ( -0.01) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.08% ( -0.18) | 21.92% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.81% ( -0.27) | 55.19% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 1-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 31.93% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 42.96% |
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