SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 65.06%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 14.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 0-1 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Besiktas | Draw | Kasimpasa |
65.06% ( 0.03) | 20.02% ( -0.05) | 14.92% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.18% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.71% ( 0.28) | 43.29% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.31% ( 0.28) | 65.68% ( -0.28) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.47% ( 0.09) | 12.52% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.46% ( 0.2) | 38.54% ( -0.2) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.5% ( 0.21) | 41.5% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22% ( 0.18) | 77.99% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Besiktas | Draw | Kasimpasa |
| 2-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.29% Total : 65.05% | 1-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.99% Total : 20.02% | 0-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.01% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.66% Total : 14.92% |
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