SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Galatasaray | 38 | -2 | 52 |
| 14 | Kayserispor | 38 | -7 | 47 |
| 15 | Gaziantep | 38 | -8 | 46 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Altay | 38 | -18 | 34 |
| 19 | Goztepe SK | 38 | -37 | 28 |
| 20 | Yeni Malatyaspor | 38 | -44 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kayserispor win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Yeni Malatyaspor had a probability of 17.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kayserispor win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Yeni Malatyaspor win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kayserispor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kayserispor | Draw | Yeni Malatyaspor |
61.24% ( -0.07) | 21.09% ( -0.62) | 17.67% ( 0.69) |
| Both teams to score 53.77% ( 3.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.07% ( 3.87) | 42.92% ( -3.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.67% ( 3.73) | 65.33% ( -3.73) |
| Kayserispor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.47% ( 1.23) | 13.52% ( -1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.42% ( 2.41) | 40.58% ( -2.42) |
| Yeni Malatyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.18% ( 3.13) | 37.82% ( -3.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.41% ( 2.92) | 74.59% ( -2.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kayserispor | Draw | Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 2-0 @ 10.23% ( -0.83) 1-0 @ 10.23% ( -1.33)2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.34)4-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.31)3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.42)4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.27)5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.18)Other @ 3.09% Total : 61.24% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.37) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.93)2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.43)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.21)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.09% | 0-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.2)Other @ 2.3% Total : 17.67% |
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