Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kayserispor win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Yeni Malatyaspor had a probability of 17.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kayserispor win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Yeni Malatyaspor win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kayserispor would win this match.