The form book is clearly weighted in Fenerbahce's favour, with one team dominating matches at the upper end of the table, while the other has remained winless for months. While Champions League qualification is effectively sealed already for Fenerbahce, expect the Yellow Canaries to finish the season in fine fashion with a comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 68.58%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Yeni Malatyaspor had a probability of 13.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Yeni Malatyaspor win it was 2-1 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
Yeni Malatyaspor	Draw	Fenerbahce
13.18% ( 0.73)	18.24% ( 0.62)	68.58% ( -1.35)

Both teams to score 52.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61% (

-1.1)

39% (

1.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.68% (

-1.17)

61.32% (

1.17)

Yeni Malatyaspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.71% (

0.41)

41.29% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.18% (

0.36)

77.82% (

-0.36)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.64% (

-0.63)

10.36% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.16% (

-1.44)

33.84% (

1.44)

Score Analysis

Yeni Malatyaspor 13.18%

Fenerbahce 68.58%

Draw 18.24%

Yeni Malatyaspor	Draw	Fenerbahce
2-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.54% Total : 13.18%	1-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.24%	0-2 @ 10.99% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 8.31% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 7.35% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 4.71% ( -0.27) 1-4 @ 4.17% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 2.14% ( -0.19) 1-5 @ 1.89% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.06) Other @ 4.51% Total : 68.58%