Champions League qualification remains a real possibility for Fenerbahce, who will feel confident about catching second-placed Konyaspor. Three points for Fenerbahce appears the most likely outcome heading into this clash, with the result likely to go the way of the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 1-0 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
Kayserispor	Draw	Fenerbahce
31.62%	25.09%	43.3%

Both teams to score 56.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.84%

47.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.61%

69.39%

Kayserispor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.82%

28.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.13%

63.87%

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.23%

21.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.03%

54.97%

Score Analysis

Kayserispor 31.62%

Fenerbahce 43.3%

Draw 25.08%

Kayserispor	Draw	Fenerbahce
1-0 @ 7.77% 2-1 @ 7.5% 2-0 @ 4.92% 3-1 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.62%	1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.14% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.08%	0-1 @ 9.35% 1-2 @ 9.03% 0-2 @ 7.13% 1-3 @ 4.59% 0-3 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 2.91% 1-4 @ 1.75% 0-4 @ 1.38% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.43% Total : 43.3%