Champions League qualification remains a real possibility for Fenerbahce, who will feel confident about catching second-placed Konyaspor.
Three points for Fenerbahce appears the most likely outcome heading into this clash, with the result likely to go the way of the visitors.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 1-0 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
