SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Galatasaray | 38 | -2 | 52 |
| 14 | Kayserispor | 38 | -7 | 47 |
| 15 | Gaziantep | 38 | -8 | 46 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Trabzonspor | 38 | 33 | 81 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 38 | 35 | 73 |
| 3 | Konyaspor | 38 | 21 | 68 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 1-0 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kayserispor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 31.62% | 25.09% | 43.3% |
| Both teams to score 56.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.84% | 47.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.61% | 69.39% |
| Kayserispor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.82% | 28.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.13% | 63.87% |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.23% | 21.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.03% | 54.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Kayserispor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 1-0 @ 7.77% 2-1 @ 7.5% 2-0 @ 4.92% 3-1 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.62% | 1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.14% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 9.35% 1-2 @ 9.03% 0-2 @ 7.13% 1-3 @ 4.59% 0-3 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 2.91% 1-4 @ 1.75% 0-4 @ 1.38% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.43% Total : 43.3% |
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