SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Galatasaray | 38 | -2 | 52 |
| 14 | Kayserispor | 38 | -7 | 47 |
| 15 | Gaziantep | 38 | -8 | 46 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Alanyaspor | 38 | 9 | 64 |
| 6 | Besiktas | 38 | 8 | 59 |
| 7 | Antalyaspor | 38 | 7 | 59 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kayserispor | Draw | Besiktas |
| 30% | 25.2% | 44.81% |
| Both teams to score 55.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.69% | 48.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.54% | 70.46% |
| Kayserispor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.15% | 29.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.07% | 65.94% |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.44% | 21.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.35% | 54.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Kayserispor | Draw | Besiktas |
| 1-0 @ 7.78% 2-1 @ 7.22% 2-0 @ 4.71% 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-2 @ 2.23% 3-0 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.26% Total : 30% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.44% 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 9.87% 1-2 @ 9.16% 0-2 @ 7.57% 1-3 @ 4.68% 0-3 @ 3.87% 2-3 @ 2.83% 1-4 @ 1.8% 0-4 @ 1.49% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.45% Total : 44.81% |
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