SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 86.71%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 4.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 4-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.22%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 1-2 (1.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Hatayspor |
86.71% ( -0.51) | 9.05% ( 0.28) | 4.24% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 46.11% ( 0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.07% ( -0.26) | 24.93% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.17% ( -0.35) | 44.82% ( 0.35) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.21% ( -0.12) | 3.79% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 83.8% ( -0.39) | 16.2% ( 0.39) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.93% ( 0.74) | 52.07% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.95% ( 0.48) | 86.05% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Hatayspor |
| 3-0 @ 11.53% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.14)1-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.08)6-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.05)7-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.08)5-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)7-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.99% Total : 86.71% | 1-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.61% Total : 9.05% | 1-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.57% Total : 4.24% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
