SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 62.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 16.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.91%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 1-0 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Fenerbahce |
16.73% ( -0.45) | 21.26% ( -0.24) | 62.01% ( 0.69) |
| Both teams to score 51.28% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.73% ( 0.28) | 45.27% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.39% ( 0.27) | 67.61% ( -0.27) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.66% ( -0.38) | 40.34% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.04% ( -0.35) | 76.96% ( 0.35) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.96% ( 0.3) | 14.04% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.39% ( 0.59) | 41.61% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 1-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.93% Total : 16.73% | 1-1 @ 10.09% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.05)Other @ 1% Total : 21.25% | 0-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.91% ( 0.11)1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0)0-3 @ 7.14% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 6.48% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 3.51% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 3.18% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.94% 2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.38% ( 0.06)1-5 @ 1.25% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.74% Total : 62.01% |
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