SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 80.19%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 6.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.86%) and 1-0 (10.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.36%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 0-1 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Besiktas in this match.
| Result | ||
| Besiktas | Draw | Gaziantep |
80.19% ( 0.29) | 13.38% ( -0.08) | 6.43% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 42.17% ( -1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.32% ( -0.59) | 37.68% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.08% ( -0.64) | 59.92% ( 0.63) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.63% ( -0.07) | 7.37% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.41% ( -0.18) | 26.59% ( 0.17) |
| Gaziantep Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.52% ( -1.06) | 54.47% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.43% ( -0.65) | 87.56% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Besiktas | Draw | Gaziantep |
| 2-0 @ 13.65% ( 0.3) 3-0 @ 11.86% ( 0.21)1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.26)2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.1)6-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.07)6-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.35% Total : 80.18% | 1-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.49% Total : 13.38% | 0-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.05% Total : 6.43% |
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