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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 12
Nov 11, 2023 at 10.30am UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu

Kasimpasa
3 - 4
Kayserispor

Fall (36'), da Costa (50'), Kara (74' pen.)
Ozdes (0')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Karimi (12'), Ciftpinar (27' og.), Boa Morte (44'), Thiam (47')
Bayazit (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Kasimpasa
Friday, November 3 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 1-0 Alanyaspor
Monday, November 6 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Kasimpasa 1-1 Kayserispor

At this stage of the season, there is not much difference between the two teams, as both have been in similar form recently. Kayserispor's rather poor away record could indicate that the visitors are in a slightly worse position going into this game than the hosts, but Kasimpasa's unimpressive defensive home record also make them rather vulnerable and far from favourites in this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 54.28%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 23.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
KasimpasaDrawKayserispor
54.28% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 22.42% (-0.023 -0.02) 23.3% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.38% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.86% (0.085999999999999 0.09)41.14% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.47% (0.088000000000001 0.09)63.53% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.87% (0.045000000000002 0.05)15.13% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.3% (0.085000000000001 0.09)43.7% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Kayserispor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.79% (0.030000000000001 0.03)31.21% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.45% (0.035000000000004 0.04)67.55% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 54.28%
    Kayserispor 23.3%
    Draw 22.42%
KasimpasaDrawKayserispor
2-1 @ 9.81%
1-0 @ 8.92% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.3% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 54.28%
1-1 @ 10.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.72% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.42%
1-2 @ 6.05% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 5.5% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.2% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 23.3%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Kasimpasa
Friday, November 3 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 3-1 Istanbulspor
Friday, October 27 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Sivasspor 0-1 Kasimpasa
Sunday, October 22 at 11.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 0-2 Fenerbahce
Sunday, October 8 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 2-3 Kasimpasa
Sunday, October 1 at 11.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 2-1 Adana Demirspor
Sunday, September 24 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 1-0 Alanyaspor
Monday, November 6 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 1-2 Kayserispor
Friday, October 27 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 3-1 Caykur Rizespor
Saturday, October 21 at 11.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 3-0 Kayserispor
Saturday, October 7 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 0-0 Istanbul
Monday, October 2 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Besiktas 2-1 Kayserispor
Sunday, September 24 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig


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