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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stade Pierre Duboeuf

Trabzonspor
1 - 0
Sivasspor

Hamsik (9')
Elmali (33'), Gomez (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Keita (86'), Gradel (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sivasspor 3-0 Giresunspor
Monday, October 17 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Trabzonspor 2-0 Sivasspor

No Turkish side has come and beat Trabzonspor on their own patch in over 18 months, and despite Sivasspor's shock win at Basaksehir in their last outing on the road, a repeat is very unlikely. Trabzonspor's four Super Lig home games have produced just six goals this season though, so attacking opportunities may be at a premium, meaning the hosts will have to take their chances when they come. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 61.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 17.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Trabzonspor in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Trabzonspor.

Result
TrabzonsporDrawSivasspor
61.46% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 21.52% (0.099 0.1) 17.02% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
Both teams to score 51.02% (-0.466 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.07% (-0.546 -0.55)45.93% (0.55 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.76% (-0.521 -0.52)68.24% (0.523 0.52)
Trabzonspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.57% (-0.182 -0.18)14.43% (0.186 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.64% (-0.36 -0.36)42.36% (0.362 0.36)
Sivasspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.62% (-0.417 -0.42)40.38% (0.42 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23% (-0.381 -0.38)77% (0.384 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Trabzonspor 61.44%
    Sivasspor 17.02%
    Draw 21.51%
TrabzonsporDrawSivasspor
1-0 @ 11.27% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 10.91% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.05% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.39% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.09% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 61.44%
1-1 @ 10.22% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.83% (0.135 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 21.51%
0-1 @ 5.28% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 4.64% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 17.02%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Besiktas 2-2 Trabzonspor
Sunday, October 16 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 4-0 Monaco
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Trabzonspor 0-0 Kasimpasa
Monday, October 10 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Monaco 3-1 Trabzonspor
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Kayserispor 1-2 Trabzonspor
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 3-2 Gaziantep
Sunday, September 18 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Sivasspor 3-0 Giresunspor
Monday, October 17 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: KF Ballkani 1-2 Sivasspor
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Istanbul 0-2 Sivasspor
Monday, October 10 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Sivasspor 3-4 KF Ballkani
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sivasspor 1-2 Hatayspor
Sunday, October 2 at 12.30pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 2-1 Sivasspor
Sunday, September 18 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig


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