SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Trabzonspor |
49.98% ( 0.02) | 23.24% ( -0.08) | 26.78% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 59.31% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.39% ( 0.41) | 41.61% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.99% ( 0.42) | 64.01% ( -0.42) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.2% ( 0.16) | 16.8% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.23% ( 0.29) | 46.76% ( -0.29) |
| Trabzonspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.29% ( 0.26) | 28.71% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.46% ( 0.32) | 64.54% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Trabzonspor |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 49.98% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.23% | 1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.47% Total : 26.78% |
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