SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Umraniyespor had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Umraniyespor win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Umraniyespor | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
34.95% ( 0.15) | 26.64% ( 0.05) | 38.4% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 51.99% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.02% ( -0.17) | 52.97% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.42% ( -0.15) | 74.57% ( 0.15) |
| Umraniyespor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.09% ( 0.01) | 28.91% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.21% ( 0.01) | 64.78% ( -0.01) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.12% ( -0.19) | 26.87% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.81% ( -0.25) | 62.18% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Umraniyespor | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 1-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.95% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.15% Total : 38.4% |
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