SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 61.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Umraniyespor had a probability of 17.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Umraniyespor win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Besiktas | Draw | Umraniyespor |
61.35% ( 0.34) | 21.24% ( -0.13) | 17.41% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 52.74% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.96% ( 0.22) | 44.03% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.58% ( 0.22) | 66.41% ( -0.22) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.15% ( 0.18) | 13.85% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.77% ( 0.35) | 41.22% ( -0.35) |
| Umraniyespor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.22% ( -0.11) | 38.78% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.49% ( -0.11) | 75.51% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Besiktas | Draw | Umraniyespor |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.9% Total : 61.34% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.23% | 0-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.16% Total : 17.41% |
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