Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 24, 2020 at 8pm UK

Old Trafford

Man Utd
4 - 1
Istanbul

Fernandes (7', 19'), Rashford (35' pen.), James (90+2')
Tuanzebe (55'), Maguire (86')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Turuc (75')
Skrtel (78'), Tekdemir (85'), Turuc (89')

Van de Beek: 'We must remain focused in Champions League'

Solskjaer: 'We still have work to do in Champions League'

Fernandes reveals reason for giving up hat-trick penalty

Solskjaer insists "the group is still very open" following Basaksehir win

Hargreaves hails Van de Beek display as "close to perfect"

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 19.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester United	Draw	Istanbul Basaksehir
58.18%	22.1%	19.72%

Both teams to score 54.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.74%

44.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.36%

66.63%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.08%

14.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.7%

43.3%

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.65%

36.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.86%

73.13%

Score Analysis

Manchester United 58.17%

Istanbul Basaksehir 19.72%

Draw 22.1%

Manchester United	Draw	Istanbul Basaksehir
1-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 9.93% 2-0 @ 9.82% 3-1 @ 6.3% 3-0 @ 6.23% 3-2 @ 3.19% 4-1 @ 3% 4-0 @ 2.96% 4-2 @ 1.52% 5-1 @ 1.14% 5-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.66% Total : 58.17%	1-1 @ 10.44% 0-0 @ 5.42% 2-2 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.1%	0-1 @ 5.49% 1-2 @ 5.28% 0-2 @ 2.78% 1-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.7% 0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.76% Total : 19.72%