Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 19.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
Result | ||
Manchester United | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
58.18% | 22.1% | 19.72% |
Both teams to score 54.16% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.74% | 44.26% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.36% | 66.63% |
Manchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.08% | 14.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.7% | 43.3% |
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.65% | 36.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.86% | 73.13% |
Score Analysis |
Manchester United | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
1-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 9.93% 2-0 @ 9.82% 3-1 @ 6.3% 3-0 @ 6.23% 3-2 @ 3.19% 4-1 @ 3% 4-0 @ 2.96% 4-2 @ 1.52% 5-1 @ 1.14% 5-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.66% Total : 58.17% | 1-1 @ 10.44% 0-0 @ 5.42% 2-2 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.1% | 0-1 @ 5.49% 1-2 @ 5.28% 0-2 @ 2.78% 1-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.7% 0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.76% Total : 19.72% |
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