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IB
Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 2, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
LL

Istanbul
3 - 4
RB Leipzig

Kahveci (45+3', 72', 85')
Skrtel (38'), Turuc (58'), Tekdemir (79'), Da Silva (89')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Poulsen (26'), Mukiele (43'), Olmo (66'), Sorloth (90+2')
Upamecano (53'), Olmo (67')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawRB Leipzig
43.75%25.59%30.66%
Both teams to score 54.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.3%49.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.28%71.71%
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.35%22.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.72%56.28%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.91%30.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.77%66.23%
Score Analysis
    Istanbul Basaksehir 43.75%
    RB Leipzig 30.66%
    Draw 25.59%
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawRB Leipzig
1-0 @ 10.12%
2-1 @ 9.03%
2-0 @ 7.52%
3-1 @ 4.47%
3-0 @ 3.72%
3-2 @ 2.68%
4-1 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.38%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 43.75%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 6.81%
2-2 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 8.18%
1-2 @ 7.3%
0-2 @ 4.91%
1-3 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 2.17%
0-3 @ 1.97%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 30.66%

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