Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 62.4%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for FC Zurich had a probability of 18.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 1-0 (7.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a FC Zurich win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
