Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 55.99%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 23.09% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.43%) and 1-0 (7.08%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-2 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
