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Swiss Super League | Gameweek 5
Nov 25, 2020 at 5.15pm UK
St. Jakob-Park

Basel
2 - 1
Lausanne

Stocker (41'), Kasami (76')
Kasami (66'), Padula (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Guessand (90+1')
Geissmann (15'), Zekhnini (54')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Basel and Lausanne Sport.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 27.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Basel in this match.

Result
BaselDrawLausanne Sport
50.11%22.47%27.41%
Both teams to score 62.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.49%37.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.27%59.73%
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.76%15.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.08%43.91%
Lausanne Sport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.87%26.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.81%61.19%
Score Analysis
    Basel 50.11%
    Lausanne Sport 27.41%
    Draw 22.47%
BaselDrawLausanne Sport
2-1 @ 9.46%
1-0 @ 7.49%
2-0 @ 7.05%
3-1 @ 5.93%
3-0 @ 4.42%
3-2 @ 3.98%
4-1 @ 2.79%
4-0 @ 2.08%
4-2 @ 1.87%
5-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 4%
Total : 50.11%
1-1 @ 10.05%
2-2 @ 6.35%
0-0 @ 3.98%
3-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.47%
1-2 @ 6.75%
0-1 @ 5.34%
0-2 @ 3.59%
1-3 @ 3.02%
2-3 @ 2.84%
0-3 @ 1.61%
1-4 @ 1.01%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 27.41%


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