Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 69.34%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 14.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 3-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Lausanne Sport win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
