Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
