Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lausanne Sport win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lausanne Sport win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Lugano win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
