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Swiss Super League | Gameweek 11
Oct 24, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
L

Basel
2 - 0
Lugano

Frei (10'), Arthur (32')
Frei (64')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Basel and Lugano.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 18.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 1-0 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a Lugano win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

Result
BaselDrawLugano
62.2%19.61%18.2%
Both teams to score 60.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.95%35.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.96%57.05%
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.15%10.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.05%34.95%
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.5%32.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.97%69.03%
Score Analysis
    Basel 62.2%
    Lugano 18.2%
    Draw 19.61%
BaselDrawLugano
2-1 @ 9.78%
2-0 @ 8.7%
1-0 @ 7.83%
3-1 @ 7.24%
3-0 @ 6.44%
3-2 @ 4.07%
4-1 @ 4.02%
4-0 @ 3.58%
4-2 @ 2.26%
5-1 @ 1.79%
5-0 @ 1.59%
5-2 @ 1%
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 62.2%
1-1 @ 8.8%
2-2 @ 5.49%
0-0 @ 3.53%
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 19.61%
1-2 @ 4.95%
0-1 @ 3.96%
0-2 @ 2.23%
2-3 @ 2.06%
1-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 18.2%

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