Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 72.13%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 11.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 3-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.37%), while for a Lausanne Sport win it was 1-2 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
